Leaders
The Economist’s US election model
A second Trump term: from unthinkable to probable
Introducing our 2024 American election forecast model
Setting sales
If a bestseller list shuns authors it dislikes, it should say so
Bestseller lists are supposed to reflect sales, not political ideology
Brain gain
How worrying is the rapid rise of Chinese science?
If America wants to maintain its lead, it should focus less on keeping China down
Economic exceptionalism
America seems immune to the world economy’s problems
Elsewhere, political dysfunction and fiscal frailties are taking a toll
Double or quits
Emmanuel Macron wants a snap election to get him out of a deep hole
But he’s taking a big risk
From chatbots to robots
Three reasons why it’s good news that robots are getting smarter
They are becoming more capable, easier to program and better at explaining themselves
Single-party politics
Morena’s landslide win threatens to take Mexico down a dangerous path
The country’s newly elected president will need to show political courage
Getting growing
How the Labour Party could end Britain’s stagnation
Even if the economy peps up, taxes will have to rise
Don’t do it
America’s billionaires should resist the urge to support Donald Trump
A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks
The Modi Raj
A triumph for Indian democracy
The shock election result will change the country—ultimately for the better
Leaders
What Claudia Sheinbaum’s victory might mean for Mexico
The next president should break with her predecessor and mentor
The humiliation of the ANC
South Africa stands on the brink of salvation—or catastrophe
To prevent a coalition of chaos, Cyril Ramaphosa and the Democratic Alliance must do a deal