Briefing | Trainspotting, but with nukes

Open-source intelligence challenges state monopolies on information

Academics, activists and amateurs are making imaginative use of powerful tools

IN 1960 JOHN KENNEDY, the Democratic candidate for the American presidency, accused the incumbent Republican administration of having allowed a “missile gap” to open up between America and the Soviet Union. The idea seemed plausible. The Soviet Union’s success in launching the first satellite, Sputnik, on a rocket which could double as an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) had naturally led to speculation that it was far ahead of America in the deployment of such weapons.

Plausible, but wrong. Soviet ICBMs could be counted on the fingers of one hand. But although, by the final days of the campaign, President Dwight Eisenhower had strong evidence of this from the CORONA spy-satellite programme, he could make no mention of it. The ability to spot ICBM sites from space was so precious that it was worth risking the White House to keep it secret.

This article appeared in the Briefing section of the print edition under the headline “Trainspotting, with nukes”

The people’s panopticon: Open-source intelligence comes of age

From the August 5th 2021 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Briefing

How AI is changing warfare

An AI-assisted general staff may be more important than killer robots

America’s assassination attempt on Huawei is backfiring

The company is growing stronger—and less vulnerable


The people and places that turned away from the BJP

The heartland, and especially lower-caste voters, have soured on Narendra Modi


More from Briefing

How AI is changing warfare

An AI-assisted general staff may be more important than killer robots

America’s assassination attempt on Huawei is backfiring

The company is growing stronger—and less vulnerable


The people and places that turned away from the BJP

The heartland, and especially lower-caste voters, have soured on Narendra Modi


Narendra Modi could respond to disappointment in two different ways

He could become more moderate and focus on the economy, or double down on Hindu nationalism

Why this is South Africa’s most important election since 1994

It may force the country’s indecisive leader to make a fateful choice