Round 2 of the group stage at the #WomensWorldCup2023 is almost over, so it's time for some more forecasts... The third and final round of group stage matches kick off tomorrow, which will decide who progress to the knockout rounds and who is going home. There are some very tight games over the next few days, notably #Australia vs #Canada and #CostaRica vs #Zambia, both of which are almost too close to call. On the other hand, we think #England should comfortably beat #China to top Group D.
Our forecasts continue to perform well, though the closer matches in round 2 means the average forecast likelihood of the actual outcomes has dipped to 59% across the 30 matches played so far. That's still comfortably ahead of 33% random guessing. #Nigeria beating #Australia was the biggest upset of round 2, which we gave just a 10% chance of happening.
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