This was the first time the ECB lowered its policy rate in five years, but the move came as no surprise. The big question is what happens next? In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, Angel Talavera, Head of Europe Economics, discusses the uncertainty around the future path for policy rates. Download the report here: https://okt.to/10hOXo #AssetMangagement #ECB #monetarypolicy #inflation
Oxford Economics
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At Oxford Economics, we equip our clients with the data and understanding they need to navigate an uncertain, fast-changing and challenging global economic and business environment. Oxford Economics was founded in 1981 and today is one of the world’s foremost independent global advisory firms, with more than 20 offices around the world. We are a key adviser to corporate, financial and government decision-makers, providing best-in-class economic analysis and advice, forecasts, analytical tools and data. Our worldwide client base now spans more than 2,000 international organisations, including blue-chip multinationals, banks, asset managers, governments, central banks, academic institutions and trade associations. Our world-leading products and services cover a range of capabilities to meet every client requirement: ■ Macro and sector forecasting ■ City and regional forecasts and location analysis ■ Developing custom business and product market forecasts, analyses and scenarios ■ Demonstrating economic impact, social value and evaluating policy changes ■ Risk management ■ Policy modelling ■ Thought leadership
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http://www.oxfordeconomics.com
External link for Oxford Economics
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Updates
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We're proud to be part of such a unique piece of research with the EDPIA (The European Digital Payments Industry Alliance). "The Environmental Impact of Digital over Cash Payments in Europe” makes a very interesting read for those interested in new ways we can make a difference to the transition to net zero. 👇
💡Yesterday, the EDPIA (The European Digital Payments Industry Alliance) launched its study commissioned to Oxford Economics on the environmental footprints of #cash and #digitalpayments in Europe. The study found digital payments have a significantly lower environmental impact than cash. 📚 As I pondered what insightful thoughts to share with the audience in the opening, my eyes fell upon Simon Sinek's book, Start with Why. So, I thought, why not start with the fundamental question: Why? ⁉ Why did we undertake this study? More than one year ago, we gathered with our members to reflect on how could we further enhance our contribution to the net-zero transition. 📅 We were driven by a profound desire to make a difference and had numerous great ideas. However, as statistician W. Edwards Deming wisely noted, "Without data, you're just another person with an opinion." 🔢 It was imperative for us to first understand our metrics and measure our current standing to be able to identify and address any gaps. This is where OE comes into play. 📑 Oxford Economics analyzed our data alongside other relevant data sets, and now, we are excited to present the outcomes of this comprehensive exercise. The results are encapsulated in a 351-page report (don’t worry, we didn’t print them), which includes practical recommendations aimed at initiating a dialogue on how each of us can play our parts. 🗳️As we find ourselves just days after the #Europeanelections, it is important to reflect on the current political landscape. With the political pendulum swinging to the right, it becomes even more imperative for us to take the initiative and ensure that sustainability remains firmly on the political agenda.
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What would Trump 2.0 mean for European growth? A second #Trump #presidency could have a moderate impact on #European growth based on our simulation of his proposed policies. In the most extreme protectionist scenario, the #eurozone #economy would be 0.4% smaller than in our #baseline forecast by 2029. Access the latest research briefing here - https://okt.to/JOMn9p
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Grenoble, France scores highest for Quality of Life category of our 2024 Global Cities Index🌐 Cities leading the Quality of Life category of the Global Cities Index are those with lower inequality and residents that live long lives. Most of these cities also provide residents with access to a wide range of recreation and cultural amenities. Grenoble tops the list , followed by the lone non-European city in the top 10, Canberra. These top cities face challenges like high housing costs, but those that can distribute high incomes equitably and offer strong health outcomes and amenities to residents will likely continue to stand out in the future. To unlock the full rankings, check out our latest blog: https://okt.to/SuNX7y
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Watch our #MENA Chart of the week. Scott Livermore our Chief Economist discusses how #Egypt's #inflation easing to 28.1% in May. Click below to sign up to our MENA blog: https://okt.to/kviemc #MIAM
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Our global industry forecasts have been updated. We expect that value-added industrial growth across the world will accelerate to 2.6% in 2024, up from 1.8% last year. 🔹Europe: Slowly moving past its yearlong industrial recession. 🔹US: Industrial output growth is expected to be relatively steady. A full-blown Trump win could have significant implications for industry. 🔹Asia: Industry growth remains largely stable, although Japan is facing deeper-than-expected production shutdowns in Q1 due to the Daihatsu scandal. Download our Industry Forecast Highlights: https://okt.to/e1Mq8m
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Join us on 19 June for our Global outlook webinar: Central banks become more forward looking. In this webinar we look at global economic prospects in the final stages of this year and into 2025 and look at the likely implications for policy pivots by central banks in the advanced economies. Register here: https://okt.to/b7AwOr
Global outlook: Central banks become more forward looking
oxfordeconomics.com
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Watch #MENA in a Minute to learn about the latest #economic developments in the region. Our Chief Economist, Scott Livermore, shares insights on: • #Egypt's #inflation easing to 28.1% in May • #SaudiArabia raising $11.2bn in the Aramco offering • #Turkey’s economy starting Q2 on a weak note Sign up for our MENA blog: https://okt.to/RtnUJQ #MIAM
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Catch Louise Loo, our Lead Economist for China at Oxford Economics, as she discussed expectations for China's trade data during her interview with CNBC - Squawk Box Asia a few days ago. She noted that "today's figures will indicate that exports remain a significant driver of China's cyclical growth." #China #EconomicGrowth
Economist discusses expectations for China's trade data
cnbc.com
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Brent net length dramatically fell near its 10-year low in the latest COT report. We expect investors will reposition near historical levels relatively quickly, with the rally of the past few days having already reflected a part of that. Find out more: https://okt.to/7OTq6C
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