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Opinion polling for the 2012 Taiwanese presidential election: Difference between revisions

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{{Short description|none}}
{{Orphan|date=December 2019}}


{{Main|2012 Taiwanese presidential election}}
{{Main|2012 Taiwanese presidential election}}
Line 14: Line 14:
! style="width:240px;"|Poll Source
! style="width:240px;"|Poll Source
! style="width:130px;"|Date of completion
! style="width:130px;"|Date of completion
! style="width:130px; background:blue;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:#000095;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:green;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:#1B9431;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px;background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
! style="width:130px;background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
|-
|-
Line 96: Line 96:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||38.8%||18.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||38.8%||18.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201107/e11pa3bif9.pdf TVBS News]||July 7, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102906/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201107/e11pa3bif9.pdf TVBS News]||July 7, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||36%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||36%||17%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110708-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||July 9, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111226041908/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110708-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||July 9, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.6%'''||33.1%||28.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.6%'''||33.1%||28.4%
|-
|-
Line 117: Line 117:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.6%'''||36.3%||22.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.6%'''||36.3%||22.1%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201107/0zy0wlh44l.pdf TVBS News]||July 21, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102914/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201107/0zy0wlh44l.pdf TVBS News]||July 21, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||38%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||38%||16%
|-
|-
Line 129: Line 129:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.5%'''||29.2%||37.3%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.5%'''||29.2%||37.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||August 5, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111226042543/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||August 5, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.1%'''||30.1%||36.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.1%'''||30.1%||36.8%
|-
|-
Line 138: Line 138:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44.27%'''||33.73%||22.00%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44.27%'''||33.73%||22.00%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/08/15/301-2735265.htm#ixzz1V5ZGNEP6 United Daily News]||August 14, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/08/15/301-2735265.htm#ixzz1V5ZGNEP6 United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120516133123/http://www.nownews.com/2011/08/15/301-2735265.htm#ixzz1V5ZGNEP6 |date=2012-05-16 }}||August 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||36%||18%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||36%||18%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/brrtf4y454.pdf TVBS News]||August 15, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102939/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/brrtf4y454.pdf TVBS News]||August 15, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||39%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||39%||14%
|-
|-
Line 150: Line 150:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.6%'''||38.1%||22.3%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.6%'''||38.1%||22.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20110826095239J95 Trend Survey and Research]||August 24, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160304040423/http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20110826095239J95 Trend Survey and Research]||August 24, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45.7%'''||40.2%||14.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45.7%'''||40.2%||14.1%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/mcq69ajqc7.pdf TVBS News]||August 30, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102949/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/mcq69ajqc7.pdf TVBS News]||August 30, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||37%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||37%||17%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/04/301-2740224.htm Focus Survey and Research]||August 31, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/04/301-2740224.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073535/http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/04/301-2740224.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||August 31, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.1%'''||39.4%||19.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.1%'''||39.4%||19.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||September 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111226042543/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||September 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.9%'''||30.4%||32.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.9%'''||30.4%||32.8%
|-
|-
Line 174: Line 174:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''51.29%'''||18.02%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''51.29%'''||18.02%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/b1fzcnqxq9.pdf TVBS News]||September 14, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111027095835/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/b1fzcnqxq9.pdf TVBS News]||September 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48%'''||37%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48%'''||37%||16%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6598475.shtml United Daily News]||September 14, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6598475.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110923162139/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6598475.shtml |date=2011-09-23 }}||September 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||39%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||39%||14%
|-
|-
Line 183: Line 183:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''36.70%'''||27.04%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''36.70%'''||27.04%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/17/301-2742820.htm Focus Survey and Research]||September 16, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/17/301-2742820.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073546/http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/17/301-2742820.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||September 16, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.8%'''||34.6%||22.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.8%'''||34.6%||22.6%
|-
|-
Line 201: Line 201:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''44.3%'''||12.9%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''44.3%'''||12.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/vnm3uwi9t8.pdf TVBS News]||September 20, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103012/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/vnm3uwi9t8.pdf TVBS News]||September 20, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47%'''||35%||18%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47%'''||35%||18%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/6hpvu8fxdn.pdf TVBS News]||September 22, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111027062053/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/6hpvu8fxdn.pdf TVBS News]||September 22, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47%'''||37%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47%'''||37%||17%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/sltjk784p4.pdf TVBS News]||September 28, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103031/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/sltjk784p4.pdf TVBS News]||September 28, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||38%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||38%||17%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/rnews/article/SecID/101/art_id/78078/IssueID/20111002 Focus Survey and Research]||September 28, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111204183611/http://tw.nextmedia.com/rnews/article/SecID/101/art_id/78078/IssueID/20111002 Focus Survey and Research]||September 28, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||35.9%||11.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||35.9%||11.9%
|-
|-
Line 228: Line 228:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||34.1%||23.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||34.1%||23.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/3w2bz4be08.pdf TVBS News]||October 6, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103046/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/3w2bz4be08.pdf TVBS News]||October 6, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||38%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||38%||17%
|-
|-
Line 237: Line 237:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.0%'''||34.1%||23.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.0%'''||34.1%||23.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://mag.chinatimes.com/mag-cnt.aspx?artid=10374&page=2 Trend Survey and Research]||October 8, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120502130544/http://mag.chinatimes.com/mag-cnt.aspx?artid=10374&page=2 Trend Survey and Research]||October 8, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.9%'''||33.9%||23.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.9%'''||33.9%||23.2%
|-
|-
Line 249: Line 249:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.4%'''||33.3%||25.3%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.4%'''||33.3%||25.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/10/13/11754-2748928.htm Focus Survey and Research]||October 12, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/10/13/11754-2748928.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073614/http://www.nownews.com/2011/10/13/11754-2748928.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||October 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.6%'''||32.0%||27.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.6%'''||32.0%||27.4%
|-
|-
Line 255: Line 255:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.5%'''||32.5%||25.0%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.5%'''||32.5%||25.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/bz6y8n00b8.pdf TVBS News]||October 12, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103057/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/bz6y8n00b8.pdf TVBS News]||October 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||38%||19%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||38%||19%
|-
|-
Line 264: Line 264:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.5%'''||33.8%||22.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.5%'''||33.8%||22.7%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6656293.shtml United Daily News]||October 15, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6656293.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111118011631/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6656293.shtml |date=2011-11-18 }}||October 15, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||36%||18%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||36%||18%
|-
|-
Line 270: Line 270:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.7%'''||36.3%||21.0%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.7%'''||36.3%||21.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33746722/IssueID/20111018 Taipei University of Education]||October 15, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120119215749/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33746722/IssueID/20111018 Taipei University of Education]||October 15, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.5%'''||30.6%||32.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.5%'''||30.6%||32.9%
|-
|-
Line 288: Line 288:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44.1%'''||36.0%||19.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44.1%'''||36.0%||19.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/601g8g6ad1.pdf TVBS News]||October 20, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103107/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/601g8g6ad1.pdf TVBS News]||October 20, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||39%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||39%||16%
|-
|-
Line 309: Line 309:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''36.10%'''||28.30%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''36.10%'''||28.30%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/1ahdn0afk7.pdf TVBS News]||October 26, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103117/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/1ahdn0afk7.pdf TVBS News]||October 26, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||39%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||39%||17%
|-
|-
Line 330: Line 330:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44.2%'''||39.0%||16.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44.2%'''||39.0%||16.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/vnlt01ljl7.pdf TVBS News]||October 31, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103134/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/vnlt01ljl7.pdf TVBS News]||October 31, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||39%||15%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||39%||15%
|-
|-
Line 336: Line 336:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.5%'''||39.7%||16.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.5%'''||39.7%||16.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/pekqbt0oh2.pdf TVBS News]||November 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103139/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/pekqbt0oh2.pdf TVBS News]||November 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47%'''||42%||10%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47%'''||42%||10%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/08/301-2755831.htm Focus Survey and Research]||November 7, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/08/301-2755831.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073629/http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/08/301-2755831.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||November 7, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.8%'''||36.1%||26.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.8%'''||36.1%||26.1%
|-
|-
Line 351: Line 351:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.17%'''||36.29%||26.54%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.17%'''||36.29%||26.54%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/flstnt7y45.pdf TVBS News]||November 10, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103149/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/flstnt7y45.pdf TVBS News]||November 10, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||44%||11%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||44%||11%
|-
|-
Line 357: Line 357:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.9%'''||38.9%||18.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.9%'''||38.9%||18.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6714516.shtml United Daily News]||November 12, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6714516.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111114205454/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6714516.shtml |date=2011-11-14 }}||November 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||39%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||39%||16%
|-
|-
Line 363: Line 363:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||39.2%||18.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||39.2%||18.4%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/vnlt01ljl7.pdf TVBS News]||November 16, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103134/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/vnlt01ljl7.pdf TVBS News]||November 16, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||45%||9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46%'''||45%||9%
|-
|-
Line 381: Line 381:
! style="width:240px;"|Poll Source
! style="width:240px;"|Poll Source
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Completion
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Completion
! style="width:130px; background:blue;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:#000095;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:green;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:#1B9431;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:orange;color:white;"|James Soong
! style="width:130px; background:#FF6310;color:white;"|James Soong
! style="width:130px; background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
! style="width:130px; background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110708-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||July 1, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111226041908/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110708-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||July 1, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.8%'''||33.9%||8.6%||21.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.8%'''||33.9%||8.6%||21.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20110723125122KQ5 Trend Survey and Research]||July 17, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20140808050454/http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20110723125122KQ5 Trend Survey and Research]||July 17, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.8%'''||32.3%||10.0%||21.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.8%'''||32.3%||10.0%||21.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201107/0zy0wlh44l.pdf TVBS News]||July 21, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102914/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201107/0zy0wlh44l.pdf TVBS News]||July 21, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||36%||13%||12%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||36%||13%||12%
|-
|-
Line 398: Line 398:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.0%'''||28.6%||10.3%||28.0%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.0%'''||28.6%||10.3%||28.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||August 5, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111226042543/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||August 5, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''29.3%'''||27.7%||15.4%||27.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''29.3%'''||27.7%||15.4%||27.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33596886/IssueID/20110814 Apple Daily]||August 12, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120102214818/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33596886/IssueID/20110814 Apple Daily]||August 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.82%'''||27.82%||18.95%||14.41%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.82%'''||27.82%||18.95%||14.41%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/08/15/301-2735265.htm#ixzz1V5ZGNEP6 United Daily News]||August 14, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/08/15/301-2735265.htm#ixzz1V5ZGNEP6 United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120516133123/http://www.nownews.com/2011/08/15/301-2735265.htm#ixzz1V5ZGNEP6 |date=2012-05-16 }}||August 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||31%||15%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||31%||15%||16%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/brrtf4y454.pdf TVBS News]||August 15, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102939/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/brrtf4y454.pdf TVBS News]||August 15, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||35%||16%||9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||35%||16%||9%
|-
|-
Line 413: Line 413:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.1%'''||33.9%||14.0%||17.0%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.1%'''||33.9%||14.0%||17.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20110826095239J95 Trend Survey and Research]||August 24, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160304040423/http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20110826095239J95 Trend Survey and Research]||August 24, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||31.9%||16.7%||14.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||31.9%||16.7%||14.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/mcq69ajqc7.pdf TVBS News]||August 30, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415102949/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201108/mcq69ajqc7.pdf TVBS News]||August 30, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||32%||17%||12%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||32%||17%||12%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/04/301-2740224.htm Focus Survey and Research]||August 31, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/04/301-2740224.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073535/http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/04/301-2740224.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||August 31, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.1%'''||32.4%||12.7%||21.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.1%'''||32.4%||12.7%||21.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||September 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111226042543/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/110803-2012%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF.pdf Era News]||September 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.2%'''||28.6%||14.3%||21.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.2%'''||28.6%||14.3%||21.9%
|-
|-
Line 428: Line 428:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''31.46%'''||28.23%||14.68%||25.63%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''31.46%'''||28.23%||14.68%||25.63%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election/electionarea-0912.htm I-tel Survey and Research]||September 8, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election/electionarea-0912.htm I-tel Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304001100/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election/electionarea-0912.htm |date=2016-03-04 }}||September 8, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.38%'''||40.89%||17.73%||—
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.38%'''||40.89%||17.73%||—
|-
|-
Line 434: Line 434:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.8%'''||31.5%||13.6%||16.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.8%'''||31.5%||13.6%||16.1%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/b1fzcnqxq9.pdf TVBS News]||September 14, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111027095835/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/b1fzcnqxq9.pdf TVBS News]||September 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||34%||14%||10%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||34%||14%||10%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6598475.shtml United Daily News]||September 14, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6598475.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110923162139/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6598475.shtml |date=2011-09-23 }}||September 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||32%||13%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||32%||13%||14%
|-
|-
Line 443: Line 443:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''31.61%'''||13.44%||23.34%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''31.61%'''||13.44%||23.34%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/17/301-2742820.htm Focus Survey and Research]||September 16, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/17/301-2742820.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073546/http://www.nownews.com/2011/09/17/301-2742820.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||September 16, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.4%'''||27.9%||11.4%||27.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.4%'''||27.9%||11.4%||27.4%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33678052/IssueID/20110919 Apple Daily]||September 17, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120125001414/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33678052/IssueID/20110919 Apple Daily]||September 17, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.70%'''||29.64%||16.21%||14.45%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.70%'''||29.64%||16.21%||14.45%
|-
|-
Line 461: Line 461:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''37.4%'''||12.4%||14.0%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''37.4%'''||12.4%||14.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/vnm3uwi9t8.pdf TVBS News]||September 20, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103012/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/vnm3uwi9t8.pdf TVBS News]||September 20, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||32%||14%||11%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||32%||14%||11%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/6hpvu8fxdn.pdf TVBS News]||September 22, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111027062053/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/6hpvu8fxdn.pdf TVBS News]||September 22, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||32%||15%||11%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||32%||15%||11%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/sltjk784p4.pdf TVBS News]||September 28, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103031/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201109/sltjk784p4.pdf TVBS News]||September 28, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||33%||14%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||33%||14%||13%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/rnews/article/SecID/101/art_id/78078/IssueID/20111002 Focus Survey and Research]||September 28, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20111204183611/http://tw.nextmedia.com/rnews/article/SecID/101/art_id/78078/IssueID/20111002 Focus Survey and Research]||September 28, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.6%'''||29.8%||11.5%||16.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.6%'''||29.8%||11.5%||16.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20111012145100C9J Trend Survey and Research]||September 28, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20131113004536/http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?t=09&i=TXT20111012145100C9J Trend Survey and Research]||September 28, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.2%'''||28.4%||9.7%||25.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.2%'''||28.4%||9.7%||25.7%
|-
|-
Line 494: Line 494:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.3%'''||36.1%||12.6%||13.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.3%'''||36.1%||12.6%||13.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/3w2bz4be08.pdf TVBS News]||October 6, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103046/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/3w2bz4be08.pdf TVBS News]||October 6, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||35%||13%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||35%||13%||13%
|-
|-
Line 503: Line 503:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.7%'''||31.9%||13.2%||17.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.7%'''||31.9%||13.2%||17.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://mag.chinatimes.com/mag-cnt.aspx?artid=10374&page=1 Trend Survey and Research]||October 8, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120118044236/http://mag.chinatimes.com/mag-cnt.aspx?artid=10374&page=1 Trend Survey and Research]||October 8, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.2%'''||28.4%||9.7%||25.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.2%'''||28.4%||9.7%||25.7%
|-
|-
Line 515: Line 515:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.9%'''||31.4%||12.0%||17.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.9%'''||31.4%||12.0%||17.7%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/10/13/11754-2748928.htm Focus Survey and Research]||October 12, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/10/13/11754-2748928.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073614/http://www.nownews.com/2011/10/13/11754-2748928.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||October 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.0%'''||30.5%||13.3%||19.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.0%'''||30.5%||13.3%||19.2%
|-
|-
Line 521: Line 521:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.0%'''||31.0%||11.4%||17.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.0%'''||31.0%||11.4%||17.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/bz6y8n00b8.pdf TVBS News]||October 12, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103057/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/bz6y8n00b8.pdf TVBS News]||October 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||34%||15%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||34%||15%||13%
|-
|-
Line 530: Line 530:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.0%'''||31.4%||11.7%||17.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.0%'''||31.4%||11.7%||17.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6656293.shtml United Daily News]||October 15, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6656293.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111118011631/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6656293.shtml |date=2011-11-18 }}||October 15, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||32%||11%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||32%||11%||14%
|-
|-
Line 536: Line 536:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5%'''||32.7%||11.3%||16.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5%'''||32.7%||11.3%||16.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33746722/IssueID/20111018 Taipei University of Education]||October 15, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120119215749/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33746722/IssueID/20111018 Taipei University of Education]||October 15, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''34.0%'''||26.4%||10.2%||29.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''34.0%'''||26.4%||10.2%||29.4%
|-
|-
Line 554: Line 554:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.0%'''||34.8%||9.3%||13.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.0%'''||34.8%||9.3%||13.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/601g8g6ad1.pdf TVBS News]||October 20, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103107/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/601g8g6ad1.pdf TVBS News]||October 20, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||35%||12%||10%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43%'''||35%||12%||10%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election/electionarea-1021.htm I-tel Survey and Research]||October 21, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election/electionarea-1021.htm I-tel Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160407111442/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election/electionarea-1021.htm |date=2016-04-07 }}||October 21, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.72%'''||42.95%||13.33%||—
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.72%'''||42.95%||13.33%||—
|-
|-
Line 578: Line 578:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''31.91%'''||30.28%||11.13%||26.67%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''31.91%'''||30.28%||11.13%||26.67%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/1ahdn0afk7.pdf TVBS News]||October 26, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103117/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/1ahdn0afk7.pdf TVBS News]||October 26, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||33%||13%||12%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||33%||13%||12%
|-
|-
Line 602: Line 602:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.8%'''||36.0%||10.4%||11.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.8%'''||36.0%||10.4%||11.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/vnlt01ljl7.pdf TVBS News]||October 31, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103134/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/vnlt01ljl7.pdf TVBS News]||October 31, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||33%||9%||20%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||33%||9%||20%
|-
|-
Line 614: Line 614:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.0%'''||30.7%||9.7%||21.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.0%'''||30.7%||9.7%||21.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/pekqbt0oh2.pdf TVBS News]||November 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103139/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/pekqbt0oh2.pdf TVBS News]||November 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||35%||14%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||35%||14%||13%
|-
|-
Line 620: Line 620:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.2%'''||35.3%||11.3%||12.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.2%'''||35.3%||11.3%||12.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_1/2276/2011_1105_all.pdf Master Survey and Research]||November 4, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_1/2276/2011_1105_all.pdf Master Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304141146/http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_1/2276/2011_1105_all.pdf |date=2016-03-04 }}||November 4, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5%'''||38.6%||12.9%||9.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5%'''||38.6%||12.9%||9.1%
|-
|-
Line 635: Line 635:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''32.4%'''||25.6%||8.2%||33.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''32.4%'''||25.6%||8.2%||33.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/08/301-2755831.htm Focus Survey and Research]||November 7, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/08/301-2755831.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073629/http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/08/301-2755831.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||November 7, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.0%'''||33.2%||13.1%||18.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.0%'''||33.2%||13.1%||18.7%
|-
|-
Line 650: Line 650:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.4%'''||38.5%||10.3%||9.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.4%'''||38.5%||10.3%||9.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/flstnt7y45.pdf TVBS News]||November 10, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103149/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/flstnt7y45.pdf TVBS News]||November 10, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||38%||9%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||38%||9%||14%
|-
|-
Line 659: Line 659:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.6%'''||38.3%||9.5%||10.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.6%'''||38.3%||9.5%||10.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6714516.shtml United Daily News]||November 12, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6714516.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111114205454/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS5/6714516.shtml |date=2011-11-14 }}||November 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||36%||9%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||36%||9%||13%
|-
|-
Line 668: Line 668:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||38.1%||9.5%||10.0%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.4%'''||38.1%||9.5%||10.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/v31gui8rzn.pdf TVBS News]||November 16, 2011||style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120105153116/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/v31gui8rzn.pdf TVBS News]||November 16, 2011||style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39%'''||9%||12%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39%'''||9%||12%
|-
|-
Line 677: Line 677:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.4%'''||37.6%||9.4%||9.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.4%'''||37.6%||9.4%||9.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33830841/IssueID/20111121 Taipei University of Education]||November 18, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120123091443/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33830841/IssueID/20111121 Taipei University of Education]||November 18, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||30.2%||7.7%||24.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||30.2%||7.7%||24.9%
|-
|-
Line 683: Line 683:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||37.6%||10.0%||9.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||37.6%||10.0%||9.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_4/2282/20111102_3.pdf Master Survey and Research]||November 18, 2011||38.7%
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_4/2282/20111102_3.pdf Master Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304225731/http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_4/2282/20111102_3.pdf |date=2016-03-04 }}||November 18, 2011||38.7%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39.6%'''||11.7%||10.0%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39.6%'''||11.7%||10.0%
|-
|-
Line 699: Line 699:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''35.79%'''||9.80%||21.02%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''35.79%'''||9.80%||21.02%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/24/11755-2760512.htm Focus Survey and Research]||November 23, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/24/11755-2760512.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120407073642/http://www.nownews.com/2011/11/24/11755-2760512.htm |date=2012-04-07 }}||November 23, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.0%'''||35.8%||9.9%||14.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.0%'''||35.8%||9.9%||14.8%
|-
|-
Line 714: Line 714:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.6%'''||39.2%||9.3%||8.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.6%'''||39.2%||9.3%||8.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6748188.shtml United Daily News]||November 27, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6748188.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111201005031/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6748188.shtml |date=2011-12-01 }}||November 27, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||35%||10%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||35%||10%||14%
|-
|-
Line 732: Line 732:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.7%'''||32.1%||10.0%||21.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.7%'''||32.1%||10.0%||21.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/07q7090so3.pdf TVBS News]||December 1, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103233/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/07q7090so3.pdf TVBS News]||December 1, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||34%||7%||19%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||34%||7%||19%
|-
|-
Line 741: Line 741:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.4%'''||37.5%||7.7%||11.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.4%'''||37.5%||7.7%||11.4%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/neijdxzcud.pdf TVBS News]||December 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103253/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/neijdxzcud.pdf TVBS News]||December 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||32%||12%||18%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38%'''||32%||12%||18%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS1/6759443.shtml United Daily News]||December 3, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS1/6759443.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111206020706/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS1/6759443.shtml |date=2011-12-06 }}||December 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||32%||10%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||32%||10%||17%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33863098/IssueID/20111204 Apple Daily]||December 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120207184059/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33863098/IssueID/20111204 Apple Daily]||December 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47.04%'''||36.90%||12.11%||3.95%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47.04%'''||36.90%||12.11%||3.95%
|-
|-
Line 753: Line 753:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.9%'''||32.6%||8.9%||18.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.9%'''||32.6%||8.9%||18.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/06/10844-2763927.htm Focus Survey and Research]||December 5, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/06/10844-2763927.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120226213634/http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/06/10844-2763927.htm |date=2012-02-26 }}||December 5, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.0%'''||32.9%||7.0%||21.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.0%'''||32.9%||7.0%||21.2%
|-
|-
Line 768: Line 768:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||36.3%||9.0%||11.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||36.3%||9.0%||11.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33878451/IssueID/20111210 Taipei University of Education]||December 7, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120210025142/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33878451/IssueID/20111210 Taipei University of Education]||December 7, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.5%'''||27.7%||7.2%||29.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.5%'''||27.7%||7.2%||29.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/h35ncmhup1.pdf TVBS News]||December 7, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120131022348/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/h35ncmhup1.pdf TVBS News]||December 7, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||37%||8%||14%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||37%||8%||14%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_2/2299/2011_1209_1.pdf Master Survey and Research]||December 8, 2011||35.4%
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_2/2299/2011_1209_1.pdf Master Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304141215/http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/page/chinese_attachment_2/2299/2011_1209_1.pdf |date=2016-03-04 }}||December 8, 2011||35.4%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''35.9%'''||10.8%||17.9%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''35.9%'''||10.8%||17.9%
|-
|-
Line 783: Line 783:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||36.4%||8.7%||11.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''43.2%'''||36.4%||8.7%||11.7%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/7j2bt7844x.pdf TVBS News]||December 10, 2011||style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231939/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/7j2bt7844x.pdf TVBS News]||December 10, 2011||style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39%'''||6%||16%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39%'''||6%||16%
|-
|-
Line 789: Line 789:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.7%'''||35.1%||7.1%||15.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.7%'''||35.1%||7.1%||15.1%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT2/6774026.shtml United Daily News]||December 10, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT2/6774026.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120107073120/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT2/6774026.shtml |date=2012-01-07 }}||December 10, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||33%||10%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||33%||10%||16%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6780162.shtml United Daily News]||December 12, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6780162.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120107220832/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6780162.shtml |date=2012-01-07 }}||December 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||35%||10%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42%'''||35%||10%||13%
|-
|-
Line 798: Line 798:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.3%'''||36.8%||8.4%||13.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.3%'''||36.8%||8.4%||13.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?i=TXT20111214154038G9B Focus Survey and Research]||December 12, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160303235616/http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?i=TXT20111214154038G9B Focus Survey and Research]||December 12, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.3%'''||36.0%||5.9%||20.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.3%'''||36.0%||5.9%||20.1%
|-
|-
Line 804: Line 804:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.1%'''||39.1%||8.0%||12.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.1%'''||39.1%||8.0%||12.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/4txho4l1yh.pdf TVBS News]||December 14, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103319/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/4txho4l1yh.pdf TVBS News]||December 14, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||38%||7%||15%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||38%||7%||15%
|-
|-
Line 819: Line 819:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.8%'''||36.7%||8.2%||14.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.8%'''||36.7%||8.2%||14.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/o4x5p7ztex.pdf TVBS News]||December 17, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120131092032/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/o4x5p7ztex.pdf TVBS News]||December 17, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||36%||7%||17%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||36%||7%||17%
|-
|-
Line 825: Line 825:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.5%'''||37.7%||7.7%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.5%'''||37.7%||7.7%||16%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT4/6788645.shtml United Daily News]||December 17, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT4/6788645.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120107220738/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT4/6788645.shtml |date=2012-01-07 }}||December 17, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||33%||10%||15%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||33%||10%||15%
|-
|-
Line 831: Line 831:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.9%'''||37.3%||7.2%||13.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.9%'''||37.3%||7.2%||13.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%e6%b0%91%e8%aa%bf&i=TXT20111221154113MPH&p= Focus Survey and Research]||December 19, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160304053211/http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF&i=TXT20111221154113MPH&p= Focus Survey and Research]||December 19, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.5%'''||33.4%||8.5%||21.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36.5%'''||33.4%||8.5%||21.6%
|-
|-
Line 840: Line 840:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.3%'''||37.1%||6.6%||14.0%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.3%'''||37.1%||6.6%||14.0%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33910691/IssueID/20111224 Taipei University of Education]||December 21, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120209062850/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33910691/IssueID/20111224 Taipei University of Education]||December 21, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.2%'''||32.2%||5.5%||22.1%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40.2%'''||32.2%||5.5%||22.1%
|-
|-
Line 849: Line 849:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.77%'''||35.05%||9.70%||19.48%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.77%'''||35.05%||9.70%||19.48%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/v4l19zlp87.pd TVBS]||December 22, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103350/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/v4l19zlp87.pd TVBS]||December 22, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||35%||8%||16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41%'''||35%||8%||16%
|-
|-
Line 858: Line 858:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5%'''||39.1%||11.1%||10.3%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5%'''||39.1%||11.1%||10.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/29/11754-2771125.htm Decision Making Research]||December 24, 2011||38.3%
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/29/11754-2771125.htm Decision Making Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120203183537/http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/29/11754-2771125.htm |date=2012-02-03 }}||December 24, 2011||38.3%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''40.4%'''||7.3%||14.0%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''40.4%'''||7.3%||14.0%
|-
|-
Line 867: Line 867:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.6%'''||36.8%||6.8%||14.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.6%'''||36.8%||6.8%||14.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%e6%b0%91%e8%aa%bf&i=TXT20111228151742HHH&p= Trendspotting Survey and Research]||December 26, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160303233844/http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF&i=TXT20111228151742HHH&p= Trendspotting Survey and Research]||December 26, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.3%'''||29.0%||7.0%||30.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''33.3%'''||29.0%||7.0%||30.7%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/gd20na7q2m.pdf TVBS News]||December 27, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231953/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/gd20na7q2m.pdf TVBS News]||December 27, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||38%||6%||12%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||38%||6%||12%
|-
|-
Line 879: Line 879:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.3%'''||38.5%||6.6%||13.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''41.3%'''||38.5%||6.6%||13.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/35go8xiggh.pdf TVBS News]||December 29, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231933/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/35go8xiggh.pdf TVBS News]||December 29, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||35%||7%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''44%'''||35%||7%||13%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/30/11755-2771414.htm Focus Survey and Research]||December 29, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/30/11755-2771414.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120109043158/http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/30/11755-2771414.htm |date=2012-01-09 }}||December 29, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.6%'''||31.5%||6.6%||24.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.6%'''||31.5%||6.6%||24.4%
|-
|-
Line 888: Line 888:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.9%'''||32.6%||7.3%||24.4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.9%'''||32.6%||7.3%||24.4%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33930685/IssueID/20120102 Taipei University of Education]||December 30, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120211140404/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33930685/IssueID/20120102 Taipei University of Education]||December 30, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.2%'''||35.7%||6.2%||15.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''42.2%'''||35.7%||6.2%||15.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/01/301-2772006.htm Focus Survey and Research]||December 31, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/01/301-2772006.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120225163405/http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/01/301-2772006.htm |date=2012-02-25 }}||December 31, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.1%'''||33.3%||6.9%||22.7%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.1%'''||33.3%||6.9%||22.7%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/chinese/page/5/71/2325/0 Master Survey and Research]||December 31, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/chinese/page/5/71/2325/0 Master Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304205435/http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/chinese/page/5/71/2325/0 |date=2016-03-04 }}||December 31, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.8%||37.8%||11.6%||11.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''38.8%'''||37.8%||11.6%||11.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/02/301-2772159.htm Focus Survey and Research]||January 1, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/02/301-2772159.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120417221459/http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/02/301-2772159.htm |date=2012-04-17 }}||January 1, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||33.1%||7.2%||22.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||33.1%||7.2%||22.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS4/6820676.shtml United Daily News]||January 2, 2012
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS4/6820676.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120108231517/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS4/6820676.shtml |date=2012-01-08 }}||January 2, 2012
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |''' 44%'''||36%||7%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |''' 44%'''||36%||7%||13%
|-
|-
Line 906: Line 906:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5'''||36.5%||5.8%||18.2%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39.5'''||36.5%||5.8%||18.2%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/02/301-2772159.htm Focus Survey and Research]||January 2, 2012
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/02/301-2772159.htm Focus Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120417221459/http://www.nownews.com/2012/01/02/301-2772159.htm |date=2012-04-17 }}||January 2, 2012
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%||33.1%||7.2%||22.5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''37.2%'''||33.1%||7.2%||22.5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/35go8xiggh.pdf TVBS News]||January 2, 2012
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231933/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/35go8xiggh.pdf TVBS News]||January 2, 2012
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||37%||6%||13%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''45%'''||37%||6%||13%
|-
|-
Line 924: Line 924:
! style="width:240px;"|Forecast Source
! style="width:240px;"|Forecast Source
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px; background:blue;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:#000095;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:green;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:#1B9431;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px;background:orange;color:white;"|James Soong
! style="width:130px;background:#FF6310;color:white;"|James Soong
! style="width:130px;background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
! style="width:130px;background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
|-
|-
Line 932: Line 932:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''31.7%'''||29.8%||13.6%||24.9%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''31.7%'''||29.8%||13.6%||24.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33863095/IssueID/20111204 Apple Daily]||December 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120208131303/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/33863095/IssueID/20111204 Apple Daily]||December 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47.61%'''||35.49%||14.37%||2.53%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''47.61%'''||35.49%||14.37%||2.53%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS1/6759443.shtml United Daily News]||December 3, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS1/6759443.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111206020706/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS1/6759443.shtml |date=2011-12-06 }}||December 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||25%||15%||6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''39%'''||25%||15%||6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/neijdxzcud.pdf TVBS News]||December 3, 2011
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103253/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/neijdxzcud.pdf TVBS News]||December 3, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''30%'''||27%||20%||23%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''30%'''||27%||20%||23%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%e6%b0%91%e8%aa%bf&i=TXT20111207141940HDI&p= Shih Hsin University]||December 3, 2011||30.5%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160304002528/http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF&i=TXT20111207141940HDI&p= Shih Hsin University]||December 3, 2011||30.5%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''31.0%'''||14.5%||24.1%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''31.0%'''||14.5%||24.1%
|-
|-
Line 947: Line 947:
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''32.1%'''||12.5%||26.3%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''32.1%'''||12.5%||26.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT4/6788645.shtml United Daily News]||December 17, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT4/6788645.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120107220738/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT4/6788645.shtml |date=2012-01-07 }}||December 17, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36%'''||29%||17%||4%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''36%'''||29%||17%||4%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/o4x5p7ztex.pdf TVBS News]||December 17, 2011||28%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120131092032/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/o4x5p7ztex.pdf TVBS News]||December 17, 2011||28%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''33%'''||15%||24%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''33%'''||15%||24%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%e6%b0%91%e8%aa%bf&i=TXT20111221154113MPH&p= Focus Survey and Research]||December 19, 2011||33.9%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160304053211/http://www.new7.com.tw/SNewsView.aspx?Key=%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF&i=TXT20111221154113MPH&p= Focus Survey and Research]||December 19, 2011||33.9%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''37.7%'''||14.1%||14.3%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''37.7%'''||14.1%||14.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.i-tel.com.tw/news_detail.asp?NewsId=129 I-tel Survey and Research]||December 20, 2011||40.10%
|align=left|[http://www.i-tel.com.tw/news_detail.asp?NewsId=129 I-tel Survey and Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200803172414/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/news_detail.asp?NewsId=129 |date=2020-08-03 }}||December 20, 2011||40.10%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''50.61%'''||9.29%||-
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''50.61%'''||9.29%||-
|}
|}
Line 965: Line 965:
! style="width:240px;"|Forecast Source
! style="width:240px;"|Forecast Source
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px; background:blue;color:white;"|Wu Den-yih
! style="width:130px; background:#000095;color:white;"|Wu Den-yih
! style="width:130px; background:green;color:white;"|Su Jia-chyuan
! style="width:130px; background:#1B9431;color:white;"|Su Jia-chyuan
! style="width:130px;background:orange;color:white;"|Lin Ruey-shiung
! style="width:130px;background:#FF6310;color:white;"|Lin Ruey-shiung
! style="width:130px;background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
! style="width:130px;background:black;color:white;"|Undecided
|-
|-
Line 973: Line 973:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.3%'''||33.7%||4.4%||26.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''35.3%'''||33.7%||4.4%||26.6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/7j2bt7844x.pdf TVBS News]||December 10, 2011||38%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231939/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/7j2bt7844x.pdf TVBS News]||December 10, 2011||38%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39%'''||6%||17%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''39%'''||6%||17%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT2/6774026.shtml United Daily News]||December 10, 2011
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT2/6774026.shtml United Daily News] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120107073120/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NAT2/6774026.shtml |date=2012-01-07 }}||December 10, 2011
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||30%||9%||5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''40%'''||30%||9%||5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?i=TXT20111214154038G9B Focus Survey and Research]||December 12, 2011||33.8%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20160303235616/http://www.new7.com.tw/NewsView.aspx?i=TXT20111214154038G9B Focus Survey and Research]||December 12, 2011||33.8%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''38.4%'''||6.5%||21.3%
|style="background-color:#99FF99" |'''38.4%'''||6.5%||21.3%
|}
|}
Line 991: Line 991:
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px;"|Voter Turnout
! style="width:130px;"|Voter Turnout
! style="width:130px; background:green;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:#1B9431;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:blue;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:#000095;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px;background:orange;color:white;"|James Soong
! style="width:130px;background:#FF6310;color:white;"|James Soong
|-
|-
|align=left|[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-nJwyhkFOM Global Views Survey and Research]||June 15, 2011||75.3%
|align=left|[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-nJwyhkFOM Global Views Survey and Research]||June 15, 2011||75.3%
Line 1,019: Line 1,019:
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46.0%'''||11.8%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46.0%'''||11.8%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/flstnt7y45.pdf TVBS News]||November 10, 2011||76.8%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120415103149/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201111/flstnt7y45.pdf TVBS News]||November 10, 2011||76.8%
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''47.3%'''||45.8%||6.9%
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''47.3%'''||45.8%||6.9%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6755697.shtml Gallup Market Research]||December 1, 2011||-||42.16%
|align=left|[http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6755697.shtml Gallup Market Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111202153431/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS3/6755697.shtml |date=2011-12-02 }}||December 1, 2011||-||42.16%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46.13%'''||11.71%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''46.13%'''||11.71%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/h35ncmhup1.pdf TVBS News]||December 7, 2011||78.9%||47%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120131022348/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/h35ncmhup1.pdf TVBS News]||December 7, 2011||78.9%||47%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48%'''||5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48%'''||5%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/14/11490-2766766.htm Gallup Market Research]||December 14, 2011||-||41.6%
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/14/11490-2766766.htm Gallup Market Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120421234519/http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/14/11490-2766766.htm |date=2012-04-21 }}||December 14, 2011||-||41.6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48.2%'''||10.3%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48.2%'''||10.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/v4l19zlp87.pdf TVBS News]||December 22, 2011||80.3%||46%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231956/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/v4l19zlp87.pdf TVBS News]||December 22, 2011||80.3%||46%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48%'''||6%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''48%'''||6%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/35go8xiggh.pdf TVBS News]||December 29, 2011||77.9%||45%
|align=left|[https://web.archive.org/web/20120130231933/http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201112/35go8xiggh.pdf TVBS News]||December 29, 2011||77.9%||45%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''50%'''||5%
|style="background-color:#CCCCFF" |'''50%'''||5%
|-
|-
Line 1,047: Line 1,047:
! style="width:240px;"|Forecast Source
! style="width:240px;"|Forecast Source
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px;"|Date of Release
! style="width:130px; background:green;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:#1B9431;color:white;"|Tsai Ing-wen
! style="width:130px; background:blue;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px; background:#000095;color:white;"|Ma Ying-jeou
! style="width:130px;background:orange;color:white;"|James Soong
! style="width:130px;background:#FF6310;color:white;"|James Soong
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://nccupm.wordpress.com/2011/04/ National Chengchi University]||April 27, 2011
|align=left|[http://nccupm.wordpress.com/2011/04/ National Chengchi University]||April 27, 2011
Line 1,132: Line 1,132:
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''51.3%'''||42.0%||8.3%
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''51.3%'''||42.0%||8.3%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/26/91-2769996.htm National Chengchi University]||December 26, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/26/91-2769996.htm National Chengchi University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120222010945/http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/26/91-2769996.htm |date=2012-02-22 }}||December 26, 2011
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''50.4%'''||43.0%||7.7%
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''50.4%'''||43.0%||7.7%
|-
|-
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/26/91-2769996.htm National Chengchi University]||December 29, 2011
|align=left|[http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/26/91-2769996.htm National Chengchi University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120222010945/http://www.nownews.com/2011/12/26/91-2769996.htm |date=2012-02-22 }}||December 29, 2011
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''50.5%'''||44.1%||7.4%
|style="background-color:#99FF99"|'''50.5%'''||44.1%||7.4%
|-
|-

Latest revision as of 10:26, 30 May 2024

Nationwide public opinion polling have been commissioned in the leadup to the Taiwanese presidential election of 2012 by various organisations, including the Apple Daily, China Times, Global Views Magazine, Liberty Times, Era News and TVBS News. Election forecasts have also been released by various organisations, including the National Chengchi University, China Times, "Gallup" Market Research (not part of the global Gallup organization),[1] Global Views Magazine, and TVBS News, through the use of different forecasting models.

It is important to note that in terms of political orientation, sources such as TVBS News, United Daily News, and China Times are considered to be pro-unification, while sources such as Liberty Times are considered to be pro-independence.

Opinion polling[edit]

Two-way race[edit]

Poll Source Date of completion Ma Ying-jeou Tsai Ing-wen Undecided
Democratic Progressive Party April 26, 2011 36.23% 41.16% 22.61%
Trendspotting Survey and Research April 26, 2011 33.45% 43.35% 23.20%
Master Survey and Research April 26, 2011 33.81% 43.11% 23.08%
All Dimension Survey and Research April 26, 2011 35.87% 42.93% 21.20%
Era News April 26, 2011 35.86% 41.97% 22.17%
China Times April 27, 2011 33.0% 33.4% 33.6%
United Daily News April 27, 2011 36% 37% 26%
Apple Daily April 27, 2011 29.38% 56.21% 14.41%
TVBS News April 27, 2011 43% 42% 15%
Shih Hsin University May 7, 2011 44.2% 38.3% 17.5%
Global Views Survey and Research May 10, 2011 38.9% 38.6% 22.6%
Apple Daily May 13, 2011 53.76% 31.97% 14.27%
Master Survey and Research May 16, 2011 40.6% 41.3% 18.1%
China Times May 18, 2011 34.9% 26.9% 37.7%
United Daily News May 18, 2011 45% 27% 27%
Liberty Times May 19, 2011 29.45% 31.55% 39.00%
TVBS News May 19, 2011 45% 44% 10%
Liberty Times May 24, 2011 31.34% 34.57% 34.08%
TVBS News May 30, 2011 46% 42% 10%
Democratic Progressive Party June 9, 2011 40.0% 41.3% 18.7%
Apple Daily June 14, 2011 43.02% 46.27% 10.71%
Global Views Survey and Research June 15, 2011 41.2% 36.3% 22.5%
TVBS News June 20, 2011 44% 39% 16%
Era News June 20, 2011 34.90% 37.35% 27.76%
Liberty Times June 28, 2011 27.12% 31.66% 41.22%
Trend Survey and Research June 30, 2011 42.4% 38.8% 18.8%
TVBS News July 7, 2011 44% 36% 17%
Era News July 9, 2011 38.6% 33.1% 28.4%
I-tel Survey and Research July 12, 2011 49.64% 50.36%
United Daily News July 13, 2011 43% 37% 20%
Global Views Survey and Research July 15, 2011 37.3% 37.2% 25.5%
Apple Daily July 15, 2011 42.57% 40.80% 16.63%
Trend Survey and Research July 17, 2011 41.6% 36.3% 22.1%
TVBS News July 21, 2011 45% 38% 16%
Liberty Times July 26, 2011 36.39% 34.29% 29.32%
Democratic Progressive Party July 27, 2011 49.9% 50.1%
China Times August 3, 2011 33.5% 29.2% 37.3%
Era News August 5, 2011 33.1% 30.1% 36.8%
I-tel Survey and Research[permanent dead link] August 11, 2011 50.45% 49.55%
Apple Daily August 12, 2011 44.27% 33.73% 22.00%
United Daily News Archived 2012-05-16 at the Wayback Machine August 14, 2011 44% 36% 18%
TVBS News August 15, 2011 46% 39% 14%
US Congress Report August 15, 2011 37% 37% 26%
Global Views Survey and Research August 16, 2011 39.6% 38.1% 22.3%
Trend Survey and Research August 24, 2011 45.7% 40.2% 14.1%
TVBS News August 30, 2011 46% 37% 17%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine August 31, 2011 41.1% 39.4% 19.5%
Era News September 3, 2011 36.9% 30.4% 32.8%
Liberty Times September 7, 2011 36.87% 33.92% 29.21%
Democratic Progressive Party September 9, 2011 44.0% 43.6% 12.4%
China Times September 9, 2011 43.6% 33.7% 22.7%
Apple Daily September 9, 2011 30.69% 51.29% 18.02%
TVBS News September 14, 2011 48% 37% 16%
United Daily News Archived 2011-09-23 at the Wayback Machine September 14, 2011 46% 39% 14%
Liberty Times September 16, 2011 36.26% 36.70% 27.04%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine September 16, 2011 42.8% 34.6% 22.6%
Apple Daily September 17, 2011 42.59% 33.92% 23.49%
Era News September 17, 2011 41.5% 32.7% 25.7%
China Times September 18, 2011 41% 36% 23%
Global Views Survey and Research September 19, 2011 39.2% 38.3% 22.5%
Democratic Progressive Party September 19, 2011 42.8% 44.3% 12.9%
TVBS News September 20, 2011 47% 35% 18%
TVBS News September 22, 2011 47% 37% 17%
TVBS News September 28, 2011 46% 38% 17%
Focus Survey and Research September 28, 2011 43.2% 35.9% 11.9%
China Times October 2, 2011 41.7% 37.1% 21.2%
China Times October 3, 2011 42.3% 35.3% 22.4%
China Times October 4, 2011 42.7% 35.8% 21.5%
China Times October 5, 2011 43.2% 34.8% 22.0%
China Times October 6, 2011 42.4% 34.1% 23.5%
TVBS News October 6, 2011 45% 38% 17%
China Times October 7, 2011 43.0% 34.5% 22.5%
China Times October 8, 2011 42.0% 34.1% 23.9%
Trend Survey and Research October 8, 2011 42.9% 33.9% 23.2%
China Times October 9, 2011 40.9% 34.1% 25.0%
China Times October 10, 2011 41.0% 32.4% 26.5%
China Times October 11, 2011 41.4% 33.3% 25.3%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine October 12, 2011 40.6% 32.0% 27.4%
China Times October 12, 2011 42.5% 32.5% 25.0%
TVBS News October 12, 2011 43% 38% 19%
China Times October 13, 2011 43.3% 33.3% 23.4%
China Times October 14, 2011 43.5% 33.8% 22.7%
United Daily News Archived 2011-11-18 at the Wayback Machine October 15, 2011 46% 36% 18%
China Times October 15, 2011 42.7% 36.3% 21.0%
Taipei University of Education October 15, 2011 36.5% 30.6% 32.9%
China Times October 16, 2011 42.4% 35.1% 22.5%
China Times October 17, 2011 43.1% 35.5% 21.4%
China Times October 18, 2011 43.6% 35.5% 20.9%
China Times October 19, 2011 44.2% 35.7% 20.1%
China Times October 20, 2011 44.1% 36.0% 19.9%
TVBS News October 20, 2011 45% 39% 16%
China Times October 21, 2011 44.6% 36.1% 19.3%
China Times October 22, 2011 44.6% 36.6% 18.8%
China Times October 23, 2011 43.9% 38.4% 17.7%
China Times October 24, 2011 43.2% 38.6% 18.2%
China Times October 25, 2011 44.1% 38.6% 17.3%
Liberty Times October 26, 2011 35.60% 36.10% 28.30%
TVBS News October 26, 2011 44% 39% 17%
China Times October 26, 2011 44.2% 39.6% 16.2%
China Times October 27, 2011 44.0% 38.7% 17.3%
China Times October 28, 2011 43.6% 39.0% 17.4%
China Times October 29, 2011 44.4% 38.5% 17.1%
Decision Making Research October 29, 2011 37.3% 40.1% 22.6%
China Times October 30, 2011 44.2% 39.0% 16.8%
TVBS News October 31, 2011 46% 39% 15%
China Times November 3, 2011 43.5% 39.7% 16.8%
TVBS News November 3, 2011 47% 42% 10%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine November 7, 2011 37.8% 36.1% 26.1%
China Times November 7, 2011 45.4% 41.0% 13.6%
China Times November 8, 2011 44.1% 40.9% 15.0%
Liberty Times November 9, 2011 37.17% 36.29% 26.54%
TVBS News November 10, 2011 45% 44% 11%
China Times November 11, 2011 42.9% 38.9% 18.2%
United Daily News Archived 2011-11-14 at the Wayback Machine November 12, 2011 45% 39% 16%
China Times November 14, 2011 42.4% 39.2% 18.4%
TVBS News November 16, 2011 46% 45% 9%
China Times November 17, 2011 45.0% 39.3% 15.7%
China Times November 22, 2011 46.1% 41.7% 12.2%
Liberty Times November 23, 2011 36.58% 39.61% 23.81%

Three-way race[edit]

Poll Source Date of Completion Ma Ying-jeou Tsai Ing-wen James Soong Undecided
Era News July 1, 2011 35.8% 33.9% 8.6% 21.6%
Trend Survey and Research July 17, 2011 35.8% 32.3% 10.0% 21.9%
TVBS News July 21, 2011 38% 36% 13% 12%
China Times August 3, 2011 33.0% 28.6% 10.3% 28.0%
Era News August 5, 2011 29.3% 27.7% 15.4% 27.6%
Apple Daily August 12, 2011 38.82% 27.82% 18.95% 14.41%
United Daily News Archived 2012-05-16 at the Wayback Machine August 14, 2011 38% 31% 15% 16%
TVBS News August 15, 2011 39% 35% 16% 9%
Global Views Survey and Research August 16, 2011 35.1% 33.9% 14.0% 17.0%
Trend Survey and Research August 24, 2011 37.2% 31.9% 16.7% 14.2%
TVBS News August 30, 2011 40% 32% 17% 12%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine August 31, 2011 33.1% 32.4% 12.7% 21.8%
Era News September 3, 2011 35.2% 28.6% 14.3% 21.9%
Liberty Times September 7, 2011 31.46% 28.23% 14.68% 25.63%
I-tel Survey and Research Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine September 8, 2011 41.38% 40.89% 17.73%
China Times September 1, 2011 38.8% 31.5% 13.6% 16.1%
TVBS News September 14, 2011 42% 34% 14% 10%
United Daily News Archived 2011-09-23 at the Wayback Machine September 14, 2011 40% 32% 13% 14%
Liberty Times September 16, 2011 31.61% 31.61% 13.44% 23.34%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine September 16, 2011 33.4% 27.9% 11.4% 27.4%
Apple Daily September 17, 2011 39.70% 29.64% 16.21% 14.45%
Era News September 17, 2011 36.3% 28.5% 11.2% 24.1%
China Times September 18, 2011 39% 32% 11% 18%
Global Views Survey and Research September 11, 2011 35.8% 36.0% 10.0% 18.2%
Democratic Progressive Party September 11, 2011 36.2% 37.4% 12.4% 14.0%
TVBS News September 20, 2011 43% 32% 14% 11%
TVBS News September 22, 2011 42% 32% 15% 11%
TVBS News September 28, 2011 40% 33% 14% 13%
Focus Survey and Research September 28, 2011 33.6% 29.8% 11.5% 16.9%
Trend Survey and Research September 28, 2011 36.2% 28.4% 9.7% 25.7%
China Times October 2, 2011 39.5% 36.0% 11.7% 12.8%
China Times October 3, 2011 38.7% 34.7% 11.1% 15.5%
China Times October 4, 2011 38.5% 35.1% 12.1% 14.3%
China Times October 5, 2011 38.4% 33.5% 12.8% 15.3%
China Times October 6, 2011 37.5% 32.2% 13.7% 16.6%
Master Survey and Research October 6, 2011 37.3% 36.1% 12.6% 13.9%
TVBS News October 6, 2011 40% 35% 13% 13%
China Times October 7, 2011 37.5% 31.7% 13.6% 17.2%
China Times October 8, 2011 37.7% 31.9% 13.2% 17.2%
Trend Survey and Research October 8, 2011 36.2% 28.4% 9.7% 25.7%
China Times October 1, 2011 37.9% 31.6% 13.4% 17.1%
China Times October 10, 2011 38.0% 30.6% 13.2% 18.2%
China Times October 11, 2011 38.9% 31.4% 12.0% 17.7%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine October 12, 2011 37.0% 30.5% 13.3% 19.2%
China Times October 12, 2011 40.0% 31.0% 11.4% 17.6%
TVBS News October 12, 2011 38% 34% 15% 13%
China Times October 13, 2011 39.7% 30.3% 12.6% 17.4%
China Times October 14, 2011 39.0% 31.4% 11.7% 17.9%
United Daily News Archived 2011-11-18 at the Wayback Machine October 15, 2011 43% 32% 11% 14%
China Times October 15, 2011 39.5% 32.7% 11.3% 16.5%
Taipei University of Education October 15, 2011 34.0% 26.4% 10.2% 29.4%
China Times October 16, 2011 39.9% 32.5% 10.3% 17.3%
China Times October 17, 2011 40.9% 32.4% 11.0% 15.7%
China Times October 18, 2011 42.0% 33.7% 9.4% 14.9%
China Times October 11, 2011 43.7% 33.7% 9.1% 13.5%
China Times October 20, 2011 42.0% 34.8% 9.3% 13.8%
TVBS News October 20, 2011 43% 35% 12% 10%
I-tel Survey and Research Archived 2016-04-07 at the Wayback Machine October 21, 2011 43.72% 42.95% 13.33%
China Times October 21, 2011 42.3% 35.1% 9.7% 12.9%
China Times October 22, 2011 42.3% 35.8% 9.4% 12.5%
China Times October 23, 2011 41.6% 36.3% 10.6% 11.5%
China Times October 24, 2011 40.6% 36.9% 10.6% 11.9%
China Times October 25, 2011 42.1% 37.0% 10.1% 10.8%
Liberty Times October 26, 2011 31.91% 30.28% 11.13% 26.67%
TVBS News October 26, 2011 42% 33% 13% 12%
China Times October 26, 2011 42.1% 37.5% 9.5% 10.9%
China Times October 27, 2011 42.2% 37.4% 8.5% 11.9%
China Times October 28, 2011 41.3% 38.0% 8.3% 12.4%
China Times October 21, 2011 42.1% 37.0% 9.3% 11.6%
Decision Making Research October 21, 2011 32.2% 35.9% 13.7% 18.2%
China Times October 30, 2011 41.3% 37.1% 10.0% 11.6%
China Times October 31, 2011 41.8% 36.0% 10.4% 11.8%
TVBS News October 31, 2011 39% 33% 9% 20%
China Times November 1, 2011 41.3% 35.8% 11.0% 11.9%
China Times November 2, 2011 42.0% 33.8% 11.4% 12.8%
Focus Survey and Research November 2, 2011 38.0% 30.7% 9.7% 21.6%
TVBS News November 3, 2011 38% 35% 14% 13%
China Times November 3, 2011 41.2% 35.3% 11.3% 12.2%
Master Survey and Research Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine November 4, 2011 39.5% 38.6% 12.9% 9.1%
China Times November 4, 2011 42.0% 35.6% 10.6% 11.8%
China Times November 5, 2011 41.4% 37.3% 10.1% 11.2%
China Times November 6, 2011 41.7% 38.2% 10.4% 9.7%
Gallup Market Research November 6, 2011 32.4% 25.6% 8.2% 33.8%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine November 7, 2011 35.0% 33.2% 13.1% 18.7%
China Times November 7, 2011 42.3% 39.1% 9.7% 8.9%
China Times November 8, 2011 42.0% 39.3% 9.3% 9.4%
Liberty Times November 1, 2011 33.58% 32.97% 11.17% 22.27%
China Times November 1, 2011 41.4% 38.5% 10.3% 9.8%
TVBS News November 10, 2011 39% 38% 9% 14%
China Times November 10, 2011 41.6% 38.1% 10.7% 9.6%
China Times November 11, 2011 41.6% 38.3% 9.5% 10.6%
United Daily News Archived 2011-11-14 at the Wayback Machine November 12, 2011 41% 36% 9% 13%
China Times November 14, 2011 41.2% 39.0% 9.4% 10.4%
China Times November 15, 2011 42.4% 38.1% 9.5% 10.0%
TVBS News November 16, 2011 39% 39% 9% 12%
China Times November 16, 2011 43.3% 37.9% 9.1% 9.7%
China Times November 17, 2011 43.4% 37.6% 9.4% 9.6%
Taipei University of Education November 18, 2011 37.2% 30.2% 7.7% 24.9%
China Times November 18, 2011 43.2% 37.6% 10.0% 9.2%
Master Survey and Research Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine November 18, 2011 38.7% 39.6% 11.7% 10.0%
Decision Making Research November 20, 2011 33.5% 40.1% 11.2% 15.2%
China Times November 21, 2011 44.7% 36.8% 9.7% 8.8%
China Times November 22, 2011 43.6% 38.7% 9.8% 7.9%
Liberty Times November 23, 2011 33.39% 35.79% 9.80% 21.02%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-07 at the Wayback Machine November 23, 2011 39.0% 35.8% 9.9% 14.8%
China Times November 23, 2011 42.0% 39.8% 9.4% 8.8%
TVBS News November 23, 2011 40% 38% 7% 15%
China Times November 24, 2011 40.7% 40.3% 10.3% 8.7%
China Times November 25, 2011 42.6% 39.2% 9.3% 8.9%
United Daily News Archived 2011-12-01 at the Wayback Machine November 27, 2011 41% 35% 10% 14%
China Times November 28, 2011 42.7% 37.6% 9.5% 10.2%
YouGov Market Research November 28, 2011 34% 26% 10% 30%
China Times November 29, 2011 43.0% 35.2% 8.4% 13.4%
China Times November 30, 2011 41.8% 35.1% 8.3% 14.8%
Focus Survey and Research November 30, 2011 36.7% 32.1% 10.0% 21.2%
TVBS News December 1, 2011 40% 34% 7% 19%
China Times December 2, 2011 43.5% 36.1% 7.0% 13.4%
China Times December 2, 2011 43.4% 37.5% 7.7% 11.4%
TVBS News December 3, 2011 38% 32% 12% 18%
United Daily News Archived 2011-12-06 at the Wayback Machine December 3, 2011 39% 32% 10% 17%
Apple Daily December 3, 2011 47.04% 36.90% 12.11% 3.95%
China Times December 3, 2011 39.9% 32.6% 8.9% 18.6%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-02-26 at the Wayback Machine December 5, 2011 39.0% 32.9% 7.0% 21.2%
China Times December 5, 2011 43.7% 37.2% 8.3% 10.8%
Shih Hsin University December 5, 2011 33.9% 28.6% 8.3% 30.7%
China Times December 6, 2011 42.0% 36.9% 9.8% 11.3%
China Times December 7, 2011 43.2% 36.3% 9.0% 11.5%
Taipei University of Education December 7, 2011 35.5% 27.7% 7.2% 29.6%
TVBS News December 7, 2011 41% 37% 8% 14%
Master Survey and Research Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine December 8, 2011 35.4% 35.9% 10.8% 17.9%
China Times December 8, 2011 43.9% 35.9% 8.9% 11.3%
China Times December 9, 2011 43.2% 36.4% 8.7% 11.7%
TVBS News December 10, 2011 39% 39% 6% 16%
China Times December 10, 2011 42.7% 35.1% 7.1% 15.1%
United Daily News Archived 2012-01-07 at the Wayback Machine December 10, 2011 40% 33% 10% 16%
United Daily News Archived 2012-01-07 at the Wayback Machine December 12, 2011 42% 35% 10% 13%
China Times December 12, 2011 41.3% 36.8% 8.4% 13.5%
Focus Survey and Research December 12, 2011 36.3% 36.0% 5.9% 20.1%
China Times December 13, 2011 40.1% 39.1% 8.0% 12.8%
TVBS News December 14, 2011 40% 38% 7% 15%
China Times December 14, 2011 39.7% 38.7% 8.2% 13.4%
Liberty Times December 15, 2011 34.50% 33.26% 10.81% 21.43%
China Times December 15, 2011 41.8% 37.1% 8.2% 13.8%
China Times December 16, 2011 41.8% 36.7% 8.2% 14.2%
TVBS News December 17, 2011 40% 36% 7% 17%
China Times December 17, 2011 38.5% 37.7% 7.7% 16%
United Daily News Archived 2012-01-07 at the Wayback Machine December 17, 2011 41% 33% 10% 15%
China Times December 19, 2011 41.9% 37.3% 7.2% 13.6%
Focus Survey and Research December 19, 2011 36.5% 33.4% 8.5% 21.6%
China Times December 20, 2011 42.2% 36.8% 7.4% 13.6%
China Times December 21, 2011 42.3% 37.1% 6.6% 14.0%
Taipei University of Education December 21, 2011 40.2% 32.2% 5.5% 22.1%
China Times December 22, 2011 42.3% 36.0% 7.0% 14.7%
Liberty Times December 22, 2011 35.77% 35.05% 9.70% 19.48%
TVBS December 22, 2011 41% 35% 8% 16%
China Times December 23, 2011 42.2% 36.2% 6.8% 14.8%
Master Survey and Research December 24, 2011 39.5% 39.1% 11.1% 10.3%
Decision Making Research Archived 2012-02-03 at the Wayback Machine December 24, 2011 38.3% 40.4% 7.3% 14.0%
China Times December 26, 2011 41.3% 37.1% 7.5% 14.1%
China Times December 26, 2011 41.6% 36.8% 6.8% 14.8%
Trendspotting Survey and Research December 26, 2011 33.3% 29.0% 7.0% 30.7%
TVBS News December 27, 2011 44% 38% 6% 12%
China Times December 27, 2011 40.7% 38.0% 7.7% 13.6%
China Times December 28, 2011 41.3% 38.5% 6.6% 13.6%
TVBS News December 29, 2011 44% 35% 7% 13%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-01-09 at the Wayback Machine December 29, 2011 37.6% 31.5% 6.6% 24.4%
Focus Survey and Research December 30, 2011 35.9% 32.6% 7.3% 24.4%
Taipei University of Education December 30, 2011 42.2% 35.7% 6.2% 15.9%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-02-25 at the Wayback Machine December 31, 2011 37.1% 33.3% 6.9% 22.7%
Master Survey and Research Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine December 31, 2011 38.8% 37.8% 11.6% 11.8%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-17 at the Wayback Machine January 1, 2011 37.2% 33.1% 7.2% 22.5%
United Daily News Archived 2012-01-08 at the Wayback Machine January 2, 2012 44% 36% 7% 13%
China Times January 2, 2012 39.5 36.5% 5.8% 18.2%
Focus Survey and Research Archived 2012-04-17 at the Wayback Machine January 2, 2012 37.2% 33.1% 7.2% 22.5%
TVBS News January 2, 2012 45% 37% 6% 13%
China Times January 2, 2012 43.3% 38.4% 6.8% 11.5%

Television debates performance rating[edit]

Note that the percentages reflect the proportion of valid respondents who rated a particular candidate as performing the best during the presidential and vice-presidential television debates.

Presidential debates[edit]

Forecast Source Date of Release Ma Ying-jeou Tsai Ing-wen James Soong Undecided
China Times December 3, 2011 31.7% 29.8% 13.6% 24.9%
Apple Daily December 3, 2011 47.61% 35.49% 14.37% 2.53%
United Daily News Archived 2011-12-06 at the Wayback Machine December 3, 2011 39% 25% 15% 6%
TVBS News December 3, 2011 30% 27% 20% 23%
Shih Hsin University December 3, 2011 30.5% 31.0% 14.5% 24.1%
China Times December 17, 2011 29.1% 32.1% 12.5% 26.3%
United Daily News Archived 2012-01-07 at the Wayback Machine December 17, 2011 36% 29% 17% 4%
TVBS News December 17, 2011 28% 33% 15% 24%
Focus Survey and Research December 19, 2011 33.9% 37.7% 14.1% 14.3%
I-tel Survey and Research Archived 2020-08-03 at the Wayback Machine December 20, 2011 40.10% 50.61% 9.29%

Vice-presidential debates[edit]

Forecast Source Date of Release Wu Den-yih Su Jia-chyuan Lin Ruey-shiung Undecided
China Times December 10, 2011 35.3% 33.7% 4.4% 26.6%
TVBS News December 10, 2011 38% 39% 6% 17%
United Daily News Archived 2012-01-07 at the Wayback Machine December 10, 2011 40% 30% 9% 5%
Focus Survey and Research December 12, 2011 33.8% 38.4% 6.5% 21.3%

Election forecasting[edit]

Polling firm forecasts[edit]

Forecast Source Date of Release Voter Turnout Tsai Ing-wen Ma Ying-jeou James Soong
Global Views Survey and Research June 15, 2011 75.3% 51.8% 48.2%
Global Views Survey and Research June 22, 2011 53.2% 46.8%
Democratic Progressive Party July 27, 2011 75% 50.1% 49.9%
Global Views Survey and Research August 16, 2011 53% 47%
Global Views Survey and Research October 12, 2011 52% 48%
China Times November 1, 2011 41% 47% 12%
Gallup Market Research November 6, 2011 43.1% 44.2% 12.8%
China Times November 10, 2011 42.2% 46.0% 11.8%
TVBS News November 10, 2011 76.8% 47.3% 45.8% 6.9%
Gallup Market Research Archived 2011-12-02 at the Wayback Machine December 1, 2011 42.16% 46.13% 11.71%
TVBS News December 7, 2011 78.9% 47% 48% 5%
Gallup Market Research Archived 2012-04-21 at the Wayback Machine December 14, 2011 41.6% 48.2% 10.3%
TVBS News December 22, 2011 80.3% 46% 48% 6%
TVBS News December 29, 2011 77.9% 45% 50% 5%
Democratic Progressive Party January 2, 2012 79% 48% 47% 5%

Prediction market forecasts[edit]

Note that as the election forecast reports released by the National Chengchi University are based on models that involve the use of prediction markets as raw data, as opposed to opinion polling, the percentages may not add up to 100%.[2]

Forecast Source Date of Release Tsai Ing-wen Ma Ying-jeou James Soong
National Chengchi University April 27, 2011 50.5% 49.9%
National Chengchi University May 4, 2011 50.6% 47.9%
National Chengchi University May 20, 2011 51.3% 48.0%
National Chengchi University June 13, 2011 50.9% 48.4%
National Chengchi University August 1, 2011 46.8% 49.4%
National Chengchi University August 8, 2011 46.3% 48.2%
National Chengchi University August 15, 2011 45.7% 48.5%
National Chengchi University August 29, 2011 49.4% 50.3%
National Chengchi University September 9, 2011 47.9% 51.4%
National Chengchi University September 27, 2011 47.2% 49.5%
National Chengchi University October 11, 2011 46.2% 51.5%
National Chengchi University October 21, 2011 49.2% 49.6%
National Chengchi University October 26, 2011 49.6% 49.6%
National Chengchi University November 1, 2011 48.9% 48.4% 4.4%
National Chengchi University November 7, 2011 49.5% 48.3% 7.5%
National Chengchi University November 11, 2011 49.9% 46.1% 7.5%
National Chengchi University November 15, 2011 49.5% 46.1% 8.4%
National Chengchi University November 17, 2011 50.0% 46.1% 8.1%
National Chengchi University November 22, 2011 48.6% 44.1% 8.2%
National Chengchi University November 28, 2011 50.0% 43.2% 10.1%
National Chengchi University December 2, 2011 49.9% 41.9% 11.7%
National Chengchi University December 4, 2011 50.1% 42.1% 10.8%
National Chengchi University December 7, 2011 50.1% 42.6% 11.2%
National Chengchi University December 11, 2011 50.3% 41.6% 10.9%
National Chengchi University December 16, 2011 51.7% 41.4% 9.1%
National Chengchi University December 18, 2011 51.9% 41.6% 8.6%
National Chengchi University December 21, 2011 51.3% 42.0% 8.3%
National Chengchi University Archived 2012-02-22 at the Wayback Machine December 26, 2011 50.4% 43.0% 7.7%
National Chengchi University Archived 2012-02-22 at the Wayback Machine December 29, 2011 50.5% 44.1% 7.4%
National Chengchi University January 2, 2012 50.3% 43.6% 10.1%
National Chengchi University January 3, 2012 49.8% 42.6% 10.7%

Election forecast maps[edit]

Forecast Source National Chengchi University National Chengchi University National Chengchi University
Date of Release September 9, 2011 September 27, 2011 November 11, 2011
Forecast Map
Date of Release November 17, 2011 December 16, 2011 December 21, 2011
Forecast Map
Forecast Source National Chengchi University[permanent dead link] National Chengchi University[permanent dead link] National Chengchi University[permanent dead link]
Date of Release December 26, 2011 January 2, 2012 January 3, 2012
Forecast Map
Legend
  Municipalities, counties and cities where Tsai Ing-Wen is forecast to lead.
  Municipalities, counties and cities where Ma Ying-Jeou is forecast to lead.
  Municipalities, counties and cities where James Soong is forecast to lead.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Stewart, Chris (December 23, 2006). "Gallup vs Gallup Taiwan". Taipei Times. Retrieved January 11, 2012.
  2. ^ The Exchange of Future Events, The Center for Prediction Markets, National Chengchi University, November 17, 2011

External links[edit]